Core sector output growth spurts
Context:
India’s 8 core sectors have seen an increase in their output growth of 6.7% which is a three month high in February.
Relevance:
GS-03 (Economy)
Key highlights:
- Crude oil production increased by 7.9% which is an all-time high growth rate due to the base effects.
- Natural gas increased by 11.3% (highest in two years), cement, electricity, and coal production also witnessed significant growth.
- This trend signals a reversal of the declining trend which was observed in previous months.
- Due to this robust performance of core sectors, it is predicted that the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) will see an expansion ranging from 4% to 6.5% in February.
- Altogether, the surge in output growth shows a broader economic recovery, contributing to boosting industrial output and investment in the coming months.
Source: The Hindu
Base effect:
- It is the effect of the last year’s price level (last year inflation) over the corresponding rise in prices of the current year.
- Example: If the inflation rate was low in the corresponding period of the last year, even a small increase in the price index will give a high rate of inflation in the current year.
- The base effect could also lead to significant variations in percentage comparisons. Choosing a reference point that is too low could lead to overestimation, while selecting a base that is too high could result in substantial underestimation of the situation.
Index of Industrial Production (IIP)?
- It is an index that shows the growth rates in different industry groups of the economy in a stipulated period of time.
- It measures the industry groups classified under Broad sectors (Mining, Manufacturing, Electricity) and Use-based sectors (Basic Goods, Capital Goods, Intermediate Goods).
- It is computed and published by the Central Statistical Organisation (CSO) under the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation on a monthly basis.
- Currently, the base year for IIP calculation is 2011-12.
- It is used by the government agencies for Policy Making.
Core Industry:
- There are eight core sectors. They are Coal, crude oil, natural gas, refinery products, fertilizer, steel, cement and electricity.
- They comprise 40.27% of the weight of items included in the Index of Industrial Production (IIP).
- The eight Core Industries in decreasing order of their weightage: Refinery Products> Electricity> Steel> Coal> Crude Oil> Natural gas> Cement> Fertilizers.